/Agnico Eagle Shares Fall With Gold Futures

Agnico Eagle Shares Fall With Gold Futures

Agnico Eagle shares fell alongside gold futures on Monday. Its October results will give holders a fresh cost and production baseline.

by Equedia News
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Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM) shares were down 4.70% as of 11:16 a.m. ET on Monday, Sept. 28, according to the NYSE quote. CME Group showed October gold futures down 3.19% at 6:59 a.m. CT on Sept. 28. Agnico's Sept. 28 results notice set the date for its next report; it provided no new production or cost figures. For your AEM position, the new fact today is a lower share price alongside a lower gold futures price.

A miner's receipts follow the price it actually gets for gold, while labour, power and equipment bills do not reset every time bullion trades lower. In its July 29 second-quarter release, Agnico reported a realized gold price of $4,483 an ounce and all-in sustaining cost of $1,459 an ounce. That cost measure is non-GAAP; the difference between those figures is not net profit. If realized gold prices stay lower while production and costs hold steady, less cash remains from each ounce to fund projects, dividends and buybacks.

Monday's futures quote is also a snapshot, not the selling price Agnico will report for the quarter. Its realized price reflects sales across the reporting period. The July release had already put annual production near the lower end of guidance after a preliminary redesign at Canadian Malartic. That operating concern was disclosed before Monday's trading. We would want to see the next payable production figure and sustaining cost beside the realized gold price before deciding how much of the share decline the business itself supports.

We traced last week's pressure on bullion in Gold and Silver Lose Ground as Yields Rise. The CME quote establishes Monday's drop in futures but does not establish its cause, or explain every order to sell AEM. If you hold the miner, a gold rebound could restore some support to the shares before the next report. A sustained decline would give Agnico less room to absorb higher costs or softer output. Neither path can be read from one morning's market prices.

Agnico's September notice says the company will release its third-quarter results on Oct. 28 after trading and discuss them on a call Oct. 29. It announces no revision to guidance. Because Monday's selloff arrived near quarter-end, that report will mostly reflect sales before the new price slide. We can use it to test the prior production and cost plan, then listen for what management says about current gold prices. The market has marked down the shares already; we have yet to see evidence that mine output or costs changed on Monday.

We will watch Agnico's Oct. 28 results for realized gold price, payable production and all-in sustaining cost, then its Oct. 29 call for management's view of the selloff.

Seek the truth and be prepared,

Equedia News

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Disclaimer: This letter is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past predictions and performance are not indicative of future results. Please see our full terms of use and disclaimer at equedia.com. We own gold and gold stocks.

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